Hybrid War Warnings: Germany’s BND chief Martin Jaeger says Russia’s “shadow war” is escalating and Berlin risks being pulled into a violent conflict, citing a suspected Russian drone attack at Leipzig airport. Nuclear Flashpoint: A new focus on Kaliningrad underscores Putin’s nuclear threats and NATO’s concern about allied movement in the Baltic. Ukraine War Pressure: Ukraine claims long-range strikes have knocked out 51% of Russia’s oil refining capacity, while Zelensky vows further refinery attacks as Russia targets Kyiv bridges and civilian infrastructure. Biological Scare: Russia’s suspected pneumonic plague case in Siberia has triggered hospital lockdowns and nearly 200 quarantined; the U.S. says it’s monitoring closely as questions grow over possible lab cover-ups. Bosnia Politics: Pro-Russian Milorad Dodik’s camp retained influence in Bosnia’s elections, with nationalist gains raising instability fears. Regional Ties: Serbia’s Aleksandar Vučić sent Putin a birthday message, stressing continued gas cooperation and strengthening relations. Cyber/Disinformation: EU-Russia policy critics and reports of sabotage/disinformation fears keep Europe on edge. Elections Abroad: Brazil’s presidential race heads to a runoff after Flavio Bolsonaro leads in the first round, lifting the real.